I have been getting into NFL betting more recently, and I’ve got to say, it’s been quite enjoyable. I mean, maybe that’s due to my recent success, but we’ll see how long that’ll hold up. I’d thought it start documenting my weekly best bets, so let’s get right into it.
Disclaimer: These are merely suggestions and have no guarantee of hitting. Gamble responsibly.
1. BAL (-1.5) at IND, 1:00 P.M. EST
This spread has finally shrunk to an amount which I feel comfortable betting on. Even with the Ravens’ injuries/illnesses piling up, I think John Harbaugh will get the team right for this matchup against Indy. The Colts’ defense has been quite good this year, but I just can’t trust Phillip Rivers here. Baltimore was so dominant at times last week, and if they can carry the momentum into Indianapolis, this is looking like a good bet.
2. NYG (o8.5 1H) at WAS, 1:00 P.M. EST
Although a losing effort, the Giants gave me hope with their 2-point loss against the Buccaneers. They put together some good drives against one of the best defenses in the league and were two yards away from sending the game to overtime. Washington’s defense hasn’t been stellar in the first half, either. The Giants scored 13 on the Football Team in their previous matchup’s first half, so at 8.5 I see this as a fairly solid bet.
3. CHI at TEN (u47.5), 1:00 P.M. EST
This one just comes down to the matchups. The Beats’ defense has been the catalyst for the over-performing squad as a whole, while the offense has been lackluster and controversial most of the time. I feel very confident in betting against the Bears’ offense in this matchup, and Derrick Henry of the Titans should be milking the clock a lot in this game. I really don’t envision many scenarios in which a team gets over 30 points in this game, maybe a 27–20 game at the most. To be quite honest, I’m not sure if I trust the Bears to even get in the end zone twice. But betting on a Bears’ game is never a certainty…
4. Drew Lock o1.5 Passing TDs at ATL, 1:00 P.M. EST
The Broncos are coming off a remarkable comeback against the explosive Chargers, and I expect that momentum carry into this week. I don’t feel confident betting on the spread here, but in Atlanta, the Broncos should have favorable offensive production. This Atlanta defense is miserable against the pass, which should help push Drew Lock to 2+ TD passes on Sunday.
5. TB (-4.5) vs. NO, 8:20 P.M. EST
Tom Brady has never been swept by a division rival as a starting quarterback, and I don’t expect that to change come Sunday night. I think they’ll iron out the issues they had against the Giants and win this one in convincing fashion. I also want to mention Antonio Brown here because in the one game he played with New England last year, he was not used as a decoy as I expected. He’ll at least draw attention from the Saints’ secondary, and I think the Bucs’ defense should be able to contain Drew Brees outside the Superdome. I would keep in mind that Todd Bowles has not historically fared well against Brees, but this Tampa Bay defense should be able to do the job.
Same Game Parlay of the Week: SEA at BUF, 1:00 P.M. EST (5–Way, +1461)
- Buffalo Bills (+10.5, alternate spread)
- Seattle Seahawks (1Q Money Line, incl. tie)
- Seattle Seahawks (1H -1.5)
- o14.5 (4Q total)
- Seattle Seahawks by 1–13 points (winning margin, 4-way)
I always find same game parlays interesting, but this one is particularly exciting. I think this one could get close down the stretch, but I have Seattle holding on in a nail-biter. The odds are solid for this one, and I trust both offenses here. The defenses are weak, so I can see this being a 31–30 kind of game. Of course, this is just a bonus I decided to add in here… We’ll see how it goes.
